**5. Conclusions**

In Oman, tropical cyclones and storms are amongst the most significant natural hazards currently facing the country. Past TCs have resulted in significant loss of life, and billions of dollars in damage costs. The future incidence and behavior of TCs is uncertain, but prediction of a global reduction in TC frequency, but accompanied by an increase in intensity and rainfall when TCs do occur [8], seems to be borne out by recent decades of TC observation in the Arabian Sea region, where fewer but more extreme events are evident.

From our analysis of all recorded Arabian Sea cyclones, we conclude that cyclone tracks vary according to season (pre-and post-monsoon) and month of formation. In the pre-monsoon, cyclones tend to form in the northeast Arabian Sea and moves to the north; in the post-monsoon cyclones tend to form to the southeast Arabian Sea and track to the west.

**Author details**

Suad Al-Manji<sup>1</sup>

**157**

1 Ministry of Education, Muscat, Oman,

3 Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman

provided the original work is properly cited.

\*Address all correspondence to: suad.almanji@gmail.com

2 University of Leeds, Leeds, UK

\*, Gordon Mitchell<sup>2</sup> and Amna Al Ruheili<sup>3</sup>

*Arabian Sea Tropical Cyclones: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis in Support of Natural Hazard…*

*DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.96961*

© 2021 The Author(s). Licensee IntechOpen. This chapter is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/ by/3.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium,

Whilst there are clearly exceptions evident in the historical record of Arabian TCs spatio-temporal analysis reveals clear seasonal and monthly patterns in the origins and tracks of TCs. This leads to an improved estimation of the likely fate of tropical systems, including a better understanding of where TC s are likely to make landfall in Oman, given their time and point of origin. This knowledge can help improve disaster planning for areas at high-risk.

*Arabian Sea Tropical Cyclones: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis in Support of Natural Hazard… DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.96961*
