*2.6.5.2.2 Jamaare river at the Bunga gauge station*

The precipitation change pattern mainly influences the Jamaare river discharge regime. **Figure 6** reveals a one-month shift and decreases in discharge volumes from May to July at the start of the high flow season under both scenarios. The expected decrease in precipitation amounts explains this decrease in discharge volume (**Figure 4**). Under the RCP8.5, a reduction of 32 mm in precipitation for June to July translates to a reduction of -91 m3 /s (−24%). For the moderate end scenario, a decrease of 11 mm in precipitation results in decreasing discharge volume of -40 ms/s (−14%). An increase in discharge volume is shown from August to October in the latter part of the year. Projected increases in discharge volumes from August–October amount to +84 m3 /s (+13%) under RCP8.5 and +31 m3 /3 (+4%) for RCP4.5. In absolute terms, under both RCPs, (in **Figures 7** and **8**), discharge response of the high flow season (June to October) is conflicting, having projected decreasing and increasing trend dependent on the GCM.
