6. Instead of conclusion

The proposed probabilistic methods help the system using "smart systems":


The algorithm of creating more adequate PDF of time between losses of system integrity, considering for every element different threats, possibilities of control, monitoring, and recovery, allows to improve accuracy of probability predictions in hundred-thousand times (!) in comparison with exponential approximation.

The purposed approach allows to improve existing risk control concept, including creation and perfection of probabilistic models for problem decision, automatic combination, and generation of new probabilistic models, forming the storehouse of risk prediction knowledge; for storehouse, dozens of variants of the decision of typical industrial problems for risk control. The application of the methods and technologies by the joint-stock company "Siberian Coal Energy Company," implemented on the level of the remote monitoring systems, allowed to rethink system possibilities for increasing reliability and industrial safety, improve multifunctional safety systems, decrease risks, and provide predictive maintenance and operation efficiency in company value chain.
