Author details

Pietro Iaquinta

substantially, starting already from the next few years with peaks of decline in the next two

Figure 4. Pyramid of Italian population, 2061. Source: our elaboration on ISTAT's data.

This situation is not only accompanied by the quantitative downsizing but will also reshape the population structure itself. In other words, the graphic representation of the population by age groups will hardly continue to be indicated as the "age pyramid" according to the data that will present themselves as a future scenario; it will rather have to be called the population "barrel" by age to reach, not so much time afterwards, the "inverted pyramid," where, for many years, (all those years for which the "baby-living-boom" lasted) the top of the graph will

be much bigger than its bottom (despite in the presence of a slight recovery of women's fertility, which will, however, not be supported by an appropriate quantity of women available

Basically, as stated, the fertility rate will return increasing values due to the mother "in late" fertility recovery (35 years old and more); but the total of women in the age group available to procreate will be more bounded in the previous

0–20 18.40 15.64 15.67 15.77 15.84 15.86 65+ 22.04 32.82 34.01 34.12 33.65 32.82 80+ 6.67 9.64 11.11 12.52 13.49 13.34

2016 2041 2046 2051 2056 2061

decades.

for procreation) [1].6

6

Age groups Years

28 Advances in Health Management

Source: our elaboration on ISTAT's data.

Table 3. Percentage of population in age groups, Italy.

group, nullifying the effects of the improvement in the procreation propensity.

Address all correspondence to: pietro.iaquinta@unical.it

University of Calabria, Rende, Italy
