the "Importance" weight of each sample is determine by the likelihood

Previously published examples of the proposed probabilistic framework and Bayesian method (Williams & Ebel, 2012; Williams, Ebel & Vose, 2011a) focus on the prediction of changes in human illness in a farm-to-table model. The following example is a departure from the farm-to-table model and it is presented to highlight similarities and the utility of the

using sample weights *wi*.

and the known posterior distribution.
