*1.2.2 Foresight scenarios*

What are prospective scenarios? There are different ways of approaching the study of the future, for example astrology, prophecy, prognosis, prediction, forecasting, projection and prospective, the latter being the only one that approaches it from a scientific point of view, a multiple and indeterminate reality, obtained by the infinite possibilities of human action, reflected in the different projects, desires and fears of social groups, these are called prospective scenarios [12].

How are prospective scenarios proposed? This methodology analyses the phenomenon under study from a retrospective and current point of view, considering the influence of the social groups responsible for its development, to subsequently present the future reality in the form of scenarios [12], generally developed in three main phases:


There are several methodological proposals for prospective scenarios, depending on the point of view of each author; however, for the present research, the six-pillar approach proposed by Sohail Inayatullah [6] is used, as its methodological process allows for the proper substantiation, creation and evaluation of prospective scenarios.
