**1. Introduction**

There are only the last two major catastrophes, which allegedly occurred due to the fault of civil engineers and other specialists from related industries: fire in the mall "Zimniya Vishnia" on March 25, 2018 on Kemerovo and the collapse of the Morandi automobile bridge on August 14, 2018. But this list could be continued with a huge number of examples. That's why the formation of prognostic competence of construction university students as future civil engineers is very important. Predicting a future catastrophe is easier than eliminating its consequences. Every specialist, especially representatives of engineering professions, must possess prognostic skills [1]. Pedagogical forecasting, in contrast to other branches of science about the future state of the object under study, is fraught with a number of difficulties. This is due to the complexity of the predicted object: the changeable personality of the student, the development of which depends on a number of factors, both external and internal. Formalization simplifies the object and does not allow to include all indicators, factors and relationships in the model.
